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Friday February 11, 08:57
Oil rises on IEA’s predictions of tightening global supply in 2005
(by Julia Jenson)

Oil rises on IEA’s predictions of tightening global supply in 2005

Oil prices rose once again over $47 a barrel on Friday, on the IEA’s report on a tighter market for 2005.

March crude oil rose $0.02 to $47.12 a barrel.

International Energy Agency released its forecasts on global supply and demand damping optimism for a possibility of a rise in oil supply in 2005. The agency now envisages a tighter market due to the slower rise in oil supply from the non-OPEC oil producers. Russia in particular will show disappointing growth, and oil demand has been expanding at an incremental rate. Last year it added 34%.

"A material cut in January OPEC production and disappointing growth from non-OPEC producers have thrown cold water on many of the market’s concerns about near-term oversupply," Merrill Lynch said in a report.
Private weather forecaster EarthSat reported on Thursday a possible drop in US temperatures during March. This forecast contrasts with the predictions of the National Weather Service that expects the winter to end with above-normal temperatures.

Saudi Arabia promised to keep the output unchanged, alleviating fears that the OPEC might cut production ahead of a seasonal drop in demand.

The OPEC agreed in its Vienna meeting on January 30 to keep out put quotas 10% above last year’s levels at 27 million barrels a day for all members except Iraq. Now the cartel is watching out for drops in demand in order to cut supplies if necessary.

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